F. Cobolli comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.5, meaning F. Cobolli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving F. Cobolli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Cobolli has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

Z. Bergs has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving Z. Bergs vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.