ValenciaClay1/16-finals13 May 2026 · 18:00
M. Berrettini
#100 · Italy
VS
T. Daniel
#335 · Japan
BERRETTINI
1.13
·
DANIEL
4.9

Odds

Market
Berrettini
Daniel
Change
Winner
1.13
4.9
Total
line 20.5
1.68
Over 20.5
2.01
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
3.56
-6.0 games
1.24
+6 games
Handicap
games
1.33
-3.0 games
2.98
+3 games

Player analysis

M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -3.82Trend down

T. Daniel has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.7 to 22.4, with at least one match where T. Daniel was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Daniel vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 3.02Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Berrettini
Stat
Daniel
66.9%
Win rate
57.5%
105–52
W–L
244–180

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults1