Odds
Player analysis
M. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning M. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
T. Daniel has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.7 to 22.4, with at least one match where T. Daniel was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Daniel vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 7 May | Popyrin | 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 1 May | Hurkacz | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 30 Apr | Navone | 5-7 3-6 | W |
| 28 Apr | Kypson | 4-6 7-6 6-7 | W |
| 22 Apr | Prizmic | 6-3 6-4 | L |

