CagliariClayQuarter-finals1 May 2026 · 15:00
M. Berrettini
#92 · Italy
VS
H. Hurkacz
#63 · Poland
BERRETTINI
2.09
·
HURKACZ
1.813

Odds

Market
Berrettini
Hurkacz
Change
Winner
2.09
1.813
Total
line 23.5
1.83
Over 23.5
1.83
Under 23.5
Total
line 24.5
2
Over 24.5
1.84
Under 24.5
Handicap
games
1.59
+2.0 games
2.18
-2 games
Handicap
games
1.52
+2.5 games
2.33
-2.5 games

Player analysis

M. Berrettini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 5.56Trend mixed

H. Hurkacz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.7 to 24.2, with at least one match where H. Hurkacz was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Hurkacz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS 10.85Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Berrettini
Stat
Hurkacz
68.5%
Win rate
56.8%
98–45
W–L
71–54

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces11
Double faults1