A. Blinkova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.5, meaning A. Blinkova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving A. Blinkova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Blinkova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

D. Kasatkina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving D. Kasatkina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.