Hong KongHard1/8-finals7 Jan 2026 · 08:15
M. Cilic
#49 · Croatia
VS
N. Borges
#50 · Portugal
CILIC
1.95
·
BORGES
1.93

Odds

Market
Cilic
Borges
Winner
1.95
1.93

Player analysis

M. Cilic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.8 to 17.8, with at least one match where M. Cilic was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Cilic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS 3.35Trend mixed

N. Borges comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.8, meaning N. Borges has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving N. Borges vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Borges has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS -2.82Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLLWW

2W 3L last 5

5 MarSvajda7-6 6-4L
17 FebNakashima7-6 7-6L
14 FebFritz7-6 7-6L
13 FebJones1-6 4-6W
12 FebQuinn6-7 3-6W
Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

14 MarGiron6-7 2-6L
12 MarDuckworth3-6 6-4 6-2W
7 MarVacherot7-5 7-5L
6 MarNava7-6 7-5W
25 FebTiafoe6-4 6-4L

Hard court stats

Cilic
Stat
Borges
63.1%
Win rate
63%
385–225
W–L
121–71

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces14
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces9
Double faults2