Odds
Player analysis
A. Rublev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.1 to 17.1, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rublev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
N. Borges comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.0, meaning N. Borges has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving N. Borges vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 1 Apr | Borges | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 19 Mar | Opelka | 6-7 6-2 7-6 | L |
| 14 Mar | Borges | 6-7 2-6 | W |
| 12 Mar | Borges | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 7 Mar | Vacherot | 7-5 7-5 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 21 Mar | Rublev | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Rublev | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 27 Feb | Rublev | 5-7 6-7 | W |
| 26 Feb | Rublev | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 25 Feb | Rublev | 6-4 6-7 6-3 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.