MiamiHardATP Final17 Mar 2026 · 16:05
A. Fery
#166 · United Kingdom
VS
Y. Bu
#159 · China
FERY
2.14
·
BU
1.74

Odds

Market
Fery
Bu
Winner
2.14
1.74
Total
line 20.0
1.29
Over 20.0
3.04
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.4
Over 20.5
2.56
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.74
-2.0 games
1.95
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.71
-2.5 games
2.14
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Fery has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning A. Fery has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. Fery vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS -3.99Trend mixed

Y. Bu comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.1 to 13.5, with at least one match where Y. Bu was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 1.65Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Fery
Stat
Bu
69.8%
Win rate
64.5%
120–52
W–L
162–89

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces7
Double faults3