A. Fery comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning A. Fery has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Fery vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Fery has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

F. Cobolli shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 35. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +11.1 (range: -8.8 to 24.7). Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+28) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.