Odds
Player analysis
A. Bublik comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.6 to 10.9, with at least one match where A. Bublik was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
K. Khachanov comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning K. Khachanov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving K. Khachanov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Khachanov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -40 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 20 Mar | Berrettini | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Hijikata | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Kopriva | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 25 Feb | Griekspoor | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Struff | 3-6 4-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 6 Apr | Rinderknech | 7-5 6-2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Landaluce | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Fonseca | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 25 Feb | Brooksby | 7-6 6-4 | L |

