Odds
Player analysis
L. Giustino comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning L. Giustino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Giustino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
G. Cadenasso comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning G. Cadenasso has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving G. Cadenasso vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Cadenasso has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Apr | Poljicak | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | L |
| 2 Apr | Lokoli | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Valle | 4-6 6-4 6-1 | L |
| 24 Mar | Jacquet | 2-6 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Forejtek | 2-6 4-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 22 Apr | Vasami | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 20 Apr | Barrena | 6-2 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 7 Apr | Gaston | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 30 Mar | Gill | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Roncadelli | 6-7 0-6 | W |

