CagliariClay1/16-finals29 Apr 2026 · 14:00
R. Sakamoto
#159 · Japan
VS
G. Cadenasso
#232 · Italy

Odds

Market
Sakamoto
Cadenasso
Change
Winner
Total
line 20.5
1.68
Over 20.5
2.22
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.74
Over 21.0
2.12
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
2.31
-3.5 games
1.53
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
2.22
-3.0 games
1.57
+3 games

Player analysis

R. Sakamoto has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.5 to 12.5, with at least one match where R. Sakamoto was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving R. Sakamoto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Sakamoto has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.

DS 2.21Trend mixed

G. Cadenasso comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning G. Cadenasso has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving G. Cadenasso vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Cadenasso has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -3.75Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sakamoto
Stat
Cadenasso
52.9%
Win rate
64%
18–16
W–L
89–50

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved30%
Aces2
Double faults2