MadridClayATP Final21 Apr 2026 · 11:00
R. Sakamoto
#159 · Japan
VS
V. Gaubas
#124 · Lithuania
SAKAMOTO
2
·
GAUBAS
1.84

Odds

Market
Sakamoto
Gaubas
Change
Winner
2
1.84
Total
line 20.0
1.27
Over 20.0
3.14
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.36
Over 20.5
2.69
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.62
-2.0 games
2.13
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.56
-2.5 games
2.24
+2.5 games

Player analysis

R. Sakamoto has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.5 to 12.5, with at least one match where R. Sakamoto was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving R. Sakamoto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.04Trend mixed

V. Gaubas comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.7, meaning V. Gaubas has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving V. Gaubas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.68Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sakamoto
Stat
Gaubas
52.9%
Win rate
62.5%
18–16
W–L
135–81

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults2