BeijingHard1/16-finals25 Sep 2025 · 10:30
A. Davidovich Fokina
#17 · Spain
VS
C. Ugo Carabelli
#63 · Argentina
FOKINA
1.16
·
CARABELLI
5.97

Odds

Market
Fokina
Carabelli
Winner
1.16
5.97
Total
line 16.5
1.14
Over 16.5
4.59
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.19
Over 17.0
3.96
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
7.2
-8.0 games
1.08
+8 games
Handicap
games
4.45
-7.5 games
1.18
+7.5 games

Player analysis

A. Davidovich Fokina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning A. Davidovich Fokina has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Davidovich Fokina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Davidovich Fokina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.

DS -1.02Trend mixed

C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.8, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -8.81Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Fokina
Stat
Carabelli
56.2%
Win rate
40%
154–120
W–L
20–30

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults1