MiamiHard1/32-finals21 Mar 2026 · 01:15
C. Ugo Carabelli
#63 · Argentina
VS
S. Korda
#41 · USA
CARABELLI
6.8
·
KORDA
1.14

Odds

Market
Carabelli
Korda
Winner
6.8
1.14
Total
line 17.5
1.16
Over 17.5
4.15
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.27
Over 18.0
3.2
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
4.8
-2.0 games
1.15
+2 games
Handicap
games
3.72
-2.5 games
1.24
+2.5 games

Player analysis

C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.8, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -8.81Trend down

S. Korda has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.1 to 25.3, with at least one match where S. Korda was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Korda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Korda has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 9.45Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Carabelli
Stat
Korda
40%
Win rate
62.5%
20–30
W–L
167–100

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces7
Double faults2