Odds
Player analysis
A. Tabilo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.0 to 12.5, with at least one match where A. Tabilo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Tabilo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.
C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.8, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 5 Apr | Fucsovics | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 23 Mar | Michelsen | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Rublev | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 19 Mar | Comesana | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 8 Mar | Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 4 Apr | Jodar | 6-2 6-1 | L |
| 3 Apr | Assche | 0-6 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 2 Apr | Buse | 3-6 6-3 5-7 | W |
| 31 Mar | Skatov | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Korda | 0-6 3-6 | L |

