Odds
Player analysis
D. Milavsky comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.6 to 15.8, with at least one match where D. Milavsky was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving D. Milavsky vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
L. Castagnola comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.5, meaning L. Castagnola has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving L. Castagnola vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Castagnola has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Feb | Sheehy | 6-7 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 4 Feb | Martin | 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 2 Feb | Bigun | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 28 Jan | Korda | 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 25 Nov | Ribeiro | 6-4 4-6 2-6 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 8 Mar | Hassan | 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 1 Feb | Bilardo | 7-6 5-7 2-6 | L |
| 29 Sep | Masur | 6-0 7-6 | L |
| 28 Sep | Fellin | 6-4 2-6 6-4 | W |
| 22 Sep | Masur | 2-6 1-6 | L |

