Las VegasHardSemi-finals22 Sep 2025 · 00:55
D. Milavsky
#363 · USA
VS
L. Castagnola
#672 · Italy

Odds

Market
Milavsky
Castagnola
Winner

Player analysis

D. Milavsky comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.6 to 15.8, with at least one match where D. Milavsky was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving D. Milavsky vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 1.84Trend mixed

L. Castagnola comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.5, meaning L. Castagnola has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving L. Castagnola vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Castagnola has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -11.48Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLL

2W 3L last 5

6 FebSheehy6-7 7-6 6-7L
4 FebMartin6-7 3-6W
2 FebBigun6-4 6-3W
28 JanKorda6-4 7-5L
25 NovRibeiro6-4 4-6 2-6L
Recent form bar chartLLLWL

1W 4L last 5

8 MarHassan6-4 6-3L
1 FebBilardo7-6 5-7 2-6L
29 SepMasur6-0 7-6L
28 SepFellin6-4 2-6 6-4W
22 SepMasur2-6 1-6L

Hard court stats

Milavsky
Stat
Castagnola
65.6%
Win rate
50%
59–31
W–L
38–38

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces9
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults7