Odds
Player analysis
G. Ce comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning G. Ce has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving G. Ce vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.
D. Chiesa has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.5 to 6.2, with at least one match where D. Chiesa was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving D. Chiesa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 22 Apr | Granwehr | L | |
| 11 Apr | Rodriguez | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 9 Apr | Riera | 0-6 3-6 | L |
| 8 Apr | Rivera | 6-0 6-0 | W |
| 28 Mar | Sanchez | 6-3 2-6 7-5 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 11 May | Ce | 0-6 6-3 4-6 | W |
| 19 Oct | Zelnickova | 6-1 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 30 Sep | Grabher | 3-6 1-6 | L |
| 29 Sep | Smith | 6-3 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 28 Sep | Kazionova | 4-6 6-2 7-5 | W |

