M. Cecchinato comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.3 to 20.7, with at least one match where M. Cecchinato was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Cecchinato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

F. Roncadelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.1 with a downward trend. F. Roncadelli is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving F. Roncadelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.