Odds
Player analysis
S. Ofner has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.2 to 12.7, with at least one match where S. Ofner was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Ofner vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
M. Cecchinato has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.9. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Cecchinato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 25 Mar | Canas | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 23 Mar | Skatov | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 20 Mar | Baena | 6-7 6-2 1-6 | L |
| 18 Mar | Brancaccio | 6-0 6-4 | W |
| 17 Mar | Silva | 6-2 7-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 25 Mar | Harris | 2-6 1-6 | W |
| 24 Mar | Lajovic | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Trungelliti | 4-6 6-0 6-3 | L |
| 14 Mar | Gea | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 13 Mar | Martin | 7-6 6-3 | W |

