V. Royer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.3, meaning V. Royer has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving V. Royer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.

M. Cecchinato comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.3 to 20.7, with at least one match where M. Cecchinato was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Cecchinato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.