A. Tabilo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.7 to 12.5, with at least one match where A. Tabilo was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+41) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

M. Cecchinato comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.3 to 20.7, with at least one match where M. Cecchinato was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Cecchinato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.