F. Forti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -23.6 to 23.4, with at least one match where F. Forti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving F. Forti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Forti has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -36 over recent matches.

A. Chepelev comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 1. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.4, meaning A. Chepelev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. Chepelev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.