Odds
Player analysis
J. Choinski comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning J. Choinski has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Choinski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Choinski has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.
L. Giustino comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning L. Giustino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Giustino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 11 Apr | Huesler | 4-6 6-4 4-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Muller | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 31 Mar | Sakellaridis | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 26 Mar | Safiullin | 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 24 Mar | Pereira | 6-1 6-2 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Apr | Poljicak | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | L |
| 2 Apr | Lokoli | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Valle | 4-6 6-4 6-1 | L |
| 24 Mar | Jacquet | 2-6 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Forejtek | 2-6 4-6 | L |

