LisbonClay1/16-finals23 Sep 2025 · 13:10
J. Choinski
#118 · United Kingdom
VS
A. Pellegrino
#134 · Italy

Odds

Market
Choinski
Pellegrino
Winner

Player analysis

J. Choinski comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning J. Choinski has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Choinski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Choinski has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.

DS -2.22Trend mixed

A. Pellegrino has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.3 to 12.2, with at least one match where A. Pellegrino was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.19Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Choinski
Stat
Pellegrino
63%
Win rate
54.4%
194–114
W–L
233–195

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces1
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults2