Odds
Player analysis
A. Pellegrino has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.3 to 12.2, with at least one match where A. Pellegrino was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
P. Carreno-Busta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 272. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning P. Carreno-Busta has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 19 Mar | Engel | 3-6 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 17 Mar | Tiffon | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 27 Feb | Darderi | 3-6 6-3 2-6 | L |
| 25 Feb | Comesana | 6-7 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 23 Feb | Barrena | 6-2 2-6 6-1 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 19 Mar | Gill | 6-4 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Jover | 6-7 1-6 | W |
| 25 Feb | Lehecka | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Shapovalov | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 22 Feb | Nardi | 6-7 6-4 7-6 | W |

