MurciaClayQuarter-finals20 Mar 2026 · 14:55
A. Pellegrino
#134 · Italy
VS
P. Carreno-Busta
#92 · Spain
PELLEGRINO
2.57
·
CARRENO-BUSTA
1.55

Odds

Market
Pellegrino
Carreno-Busta
Winner
2.57
1.55
Total
line 18.5
1.28
Over 18.5
3.64
Under 18.5
Total
line 20.5
1.6
Over 20.5
2.14
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
2.03
-2.0 games
1.68
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.05
-2.5 games
1.8
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Pellegrino has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.3 to 12.2, with at least one match where A. Pellegrino was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.19Trend up

P. Carreno-Busta shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 272. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning P. Carreno-Busta has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.48Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Pellegrino
Stat
Carreno-Busta
54.4%
Win rate
64.6%
233–195
W–L
267–146

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults2
BP converted50%