Odds
Player analysis
R. Safiullin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.8, meaning R. Safiullin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving R. Safiullin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Safiullin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
J. Choinski has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.5 to 17.2, with at least one match where J. Choinski was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving J. Choinski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 4 Mar | Choinski | 6-4 5-7 5-7 | L |
| 2 Mar | Skatov | 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 23 Feb | Chidekh | 6-3 6-1 | L |
| 17 Feb | Blockx | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | Auger-Aliassime | 1-6 6-7 6-7 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Mar | Kjaer | 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 4 Mar | Safiullin | 6-4 5-7 5-7 | W |
| 3 Mar | Malige | 6-7 1-6 | W |
| 22 Feb | Perricard | 4-6 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 21 Feb | Jong | 6-1 7-6 | W |

