Odds
Player analysis
S. Cirstea has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.4 to 9.4, with at least one match where S. Cirstea was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Cirstea vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
C. Gauff comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 29 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 21 Mar | Mertens | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 20 Mar | Noskova | 2-6 6-3 4-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Zhang | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 8 Mar | Noskova | 7-6 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Shnaider | 2-6 6-7 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 22 Mar | Parks | 6-3 0-6 1-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Cocciaretto | 6-3 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Rakhimova | 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 20 Feb | Svitolina | 6-4 6-7 6-4 | L |
| 19 Feb | Eala | 6-0 6-2 | W |

