MiamiHard1/16-finals21 Mar 2026 · 21:40
S. Cirstea
#29 · Romania
VS
E. Mertens
#20 · Belgium
CIRSTEA
2.07
·
MERTENS
1.83

Odds

Market
Cirstea
Mertens
Winner
2.07
1.83
Total
line 17.0
1.14
Over 17.0
4.45
Under 17.0
Total
line 17.5
1.16
Over 17.5
5.15
Under 17.5
Handicap
games
1.34
-4.5 games
3.3
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
1.38
-4.0 games
3.02
+4 games

Player analysis

S. Cirstea has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.4 to 9.4, with at least one match where S. Cirstea was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Cirstea vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

DS 2.59Trend mixed

E. Mertens comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving E. Mertens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 6.63Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Cirstea
Stat
Mertens
52.1%
Win rate
62%
264–243
W–L
253–155

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces7
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults4