Kigali 2Clay1/16-finals10 Mar 2026 · 09:10
M. Steiner
#686 · Germany
VS
J. Clarke
#179 · United Kingdom
STEINER
5.91
·
CLARKE
1.16

Odds

Market
Steiner
Clarke
Winner
5.91
1.16
Total
line 17.5
1.27
Over 17.5
3.26
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.5
1.5
Over 18.5
2.34
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
3.4
-2.5 games
1.26
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
3.14
-3.0 games
1.3
+3 games

Player analysis

M. Steiner has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Steiner has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

DS 5.6Trend mixed

J. Clarke comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 16.2, with at least one match where J. Clarke was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving J. Clarke vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.63Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarClarke7-6 3-6 3-6L
9 MarCurbelo6-3 6-7 2-6W
8 MarVoelzke4-6 4-6W
2 MarNijboer7-6 6-3L
1 MarNiyigena1-6 0-6W
Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

11 MarMartin7-6 6-3L
10 MarSteiner7-6 3-6 3-6W
3 MarHemery6-7 6-3 6-7L
26 FebImamura6-2 6-4L
24 FebTakahashi4-6 1-6W

Clay court stats

Steiner
Stat
Clarke
46.6%
Win rate
64.1%
55–63
W–L
139–78

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults2