Odds
Player analysis
F. Cobolli comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.2, meaning F. Cobolli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving F. Cobolli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Y. Nishioka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.3, meaning Y. Nishioka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving Y. Nishioka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Nishioka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 8 Apr | Blockx | 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 6 Apr | Comesana | 7-5 2-6 6-3 | W |
| 21 Mar | Collignon | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 9 Mar | Tiafoe | 1-6 2-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Kecmanovic | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 14 Feb | Wong | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 7 Feb | Rodionov | 7-5 1-6 0-6 | L |
| 12 Jan | Fatic | 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 5 Jan | Jacquet | 2-6 6-1 7-5 | L |
| 11 Nov | Jung | 6-1 3-6 4-6 | W |

