Y. Nishioka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.3, meaning Y. Nishioka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving Y. Nishioka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Nishioka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

J. Rodionov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.3 to 16.4, with at least one match where J. Rodionov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. Rodionov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.