E. Cocciaretto has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving E. Cocciaretto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

M. Kostyuk comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.1 to 13.1, with at least one match where M. Kostyuk was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Kostyuk vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Kostyuk has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.