V. Erjavec has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.6 to 18.5, with at least one match where V. Erjavec was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving V. Erjavec vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

S. Costoulas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Costoulas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Costoulas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.