Mexico CityClaySemi-finals5 Apr 2026 · 23:05
A. Fenty
#389 · USA
VS
M. Covato
#699 · Italy
FENTY
1.233
·
COVATO
4.22

Odds

Market
Fenty
Covato
Winner
1.233
4.22
Total
line 20.0
1.74
Over 20.0
2.07
Under 20.0
Total
line 21.0
1.94
Over 21.0
1.75
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
1.79
-4.5 games
1.92
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
2.03
-5.5 games
1.69
+5.5 games

Player analysis

A. Fenty comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.6 to 13.3, with at least one match where A. Fenty was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Fenty vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.38Trend mixed

M. Covato comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -15.1, meaning M. Covato has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving M. Covato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Covato has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

DS -15.12Trend down

Recent form

WLLWW

3W 2L last 5

5 AprCovato6-3 6-2W
1 AprPavlovic3-6 6-7L
22 MarAntoniusL
21 MarRollandW
21 MarPieczkowskiW
LWLLW

2W 3L last 5

30 MarColson6-2 6-1L
29 MarAvila3-6 4-6W
15 MarFlores7-6 6-2L
9 MarVasa6-1 6-2L
8 MarIshimwe0-6 2-6W

Clay court stats

Fenty
Stat
Covato
47.1%
Win rate
50%
8–9
W–L
30–30

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted10%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults5