KigaliClaySemi-finals1 Mar 2026 · 10:15
R. Nijboer
#495 · Netherlands
VS
M. Covato
#724 · Italy
NIJBOER
1.15
·
COVATO
5.86

Odds

Market
Nijboer
Covato
Winner
1.15
5.86

Player analysis

R. Nijboer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.8 to 43.2, with at least one match where R. Nijboer was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Nijboer has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS 10.96Trend mixed

M. Covato comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.8, meaning M. Covato has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Covato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Covato has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

DS -5.81Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarJianu6-7 5-7L
9 MarBeckles6-0 6-2W
4 MarHemery6-4 6-4L
3 MarHoukes3-6 3-6W
2 MarSteiner7-6 6-3W
Recent form bar chartLLWLL

1W 4L last 5

15 MarFlores7-6 6-2L
9 MarVasa6-1 6-2L
8 MarIshimwe0-6 2-6W
1 MarNijboer6-7 6-3 6-2L
15 FebRodrigues6-7 3-6L

Clay court stats

Nijboer
Stat
Covato
56.5%
Win rate
50%
147–113
W–L
30–30

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP saved70%
Aces7
Double faults3
BP converted20%