Mexico CityClayFinal6 Apr 2026 · 19:10
I. Marrero Curbelo
#510 · Spain
VS
V. Orlov
#535 · Ukraine
CURBELO
1.629
·
ORLOV
2.33

Odds

Market
Curbelo
Orlov
Winner
1.629
2.33
Total
line 21.0
1.83
Over 21.0
1.85
Under 21.0
Total
line 21.5
1.93
Over 21.5
1.77
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
1.86
-2.5 games
1.83
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.18
-3.5 games
1.685
+3.5 games

Player analysis

I. Marrero Curbelo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.8 to 20.4, with at least one match where I. Marrero Curbelo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving I. Marrero Curbelo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.17Trend up

V. Orlov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.4, meaning V. Orlov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving V. Orlov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.39Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Curbelo
Stat
Orlov
17.1%
Win rate
55.1%
7–34
W–L
109–89

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults6
1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults6

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

01
Clay 01
I. Marrero Curbelo vs V. Orlov head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Gran CanariaClaySemi-finalsOrlov6-3 4-6 3-6