Mexico CityClaySemi-finals5 Apr 2026 · 20:10
Q. Vandecasteele
#460 · USA
VS
I. Marrero Curbelo
#510 · Spain
VANDECASTEELE
2.04
·
CURBELO
1.8

Odds

Market
Vandecasteele
Curbelo
Winner
2.04
1.8
Total
line 21.5
1.935
Over 21.5
1.87
Under 21.5
Total
line 21.0
1.76
Over 21.0
1.93
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
1.74
+2.5 games
2.09
-2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.8
+2.0 games
2
-2 games

Player analysis

Q. Vandecasteele has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.8 to 12.2, with at least one match where Q. Vandecasteele was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving Q. Vandecasteele vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 2.94Trend mixed

I. Marrero Curbelo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.8 to 20.4, with at least one match where I. Marrero Curbelo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving I. Marrero Curbelo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.17Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Vandecasteele
Stat
Curbelo
16.7%
Win rate
17.1%
1–5
W–L
7–34

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces9
Double faults6
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults6