K. Day has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.9. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving K. Day vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

I. Swiatek comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 25.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.