Cap CanaHardSemi-finals10 Mar 2026 · 17:10
R. Sakamoto
#159 · Japan
VS
L. Draxl
#158 · Canada
SAKAMOTO
1.49
·
DRAXL
2.69

Odds

Market
Sakamoto
Draxl
Winner
1.49
2.69
Total
line 21.0
1.68
Over 21.0
2.18
Under 21.0
Total
line 21.5
1.78
Over 21.5
2.03
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
2.39
-4.0 games
1.57
+4 games
Handicap
games
2.04
-3.5 games
1.77
+3.5 games

Player analysis

R. Sakamoto comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.5 to 12.5, with at least one match where R. Sakamoto was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving R. Sakamoto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Sakamoto has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

DS 1.02Trend mixed

L. Draxl comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.3, meaning L. Draxl has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving L. Draxl vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -8.33Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Sakamoto
Stat
Draxl
58.3%
Win rate
66.7%
67–48
W–L
164–82

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults4