Odds
Player analysis
L. Giustino comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning L. Giustino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Giustino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
T. Droguet shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 220. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.6 to 11.1, with at least one match where T. Droguet was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving T. Droguet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Apr | Poljicak | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | L |
| 2 Apr | Lokoli | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Valle | 4-6 6-4 6-1 | L |
| 24 Mar | Jacquet | 2-6 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Forejtek | 2-6 4-6 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 3 Apr | Baez | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 31 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 1-6 6-1 1-6 | W |
| 27 Feb | Herbert | 4-6 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 26 Feb | Poullain | 6-2 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 25 Feb | Kouame | 6-7 4-6 | W |

