Odds
Player analysis
P. Kypson comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Kypson has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.
T. Droguet has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.5 to 38.7, with at least one match where T. Droguet was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 4 May | Jones | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 28 Apr | Berrettini | 4-6 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 23 Apr | Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 21 Apr | Basilashvili | 7-6 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 20 Apr | Kouame | 6-2 6-2 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 4 May | Manzano | 7-5 1-6 5-7 | W |
| 30 Apr | Safiullin | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 28 Apr | Skatov | 2-6 1-6 | W |
| 22 Apr | Bonzi | 6-7 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 21 Apr | Wu | 0-6 6-7 | W |

