D. Dzumhur has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning D. Dzumhur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Dzumhur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Dzumhur has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -39 over recent matches.

A. Kovacevic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 11.5, with at least one match where A. Kovacevic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.