Odds
Player analysis
N. Djokovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.4 to 11.1, with at least one match where N. Djokovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving N. Djokovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Kovacevic comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.3, meaning A. Kovacevic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 12 Mar | Draper | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 9 Mar | Kovacevic | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | W |
| 7 Mar | Majchrzak | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 1 Feb | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5 | L |
| 30 Jan | Sinner | 3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 20 Apr | Echargui | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 1 Apr | Hijikata | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Sakamoto | 4-6 6-3 6-7 | L |
| 9 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 7 Mar | Moutet | 6-1 6-4 | W |

