Odds
Player analysis
A. Rublev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.1 to 17.1, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rublev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
T. M. Etcheverry has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning T. M. Etcheverry has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving T. M. Etcheverry vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. M. Etcheverry has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Apr | Borges | 6-4 1-6 6-1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Tabilo | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Diallo | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 27 Feb | Griekspoor | 5-7 6-7 | L |
| 26 Feb | Rinderknech | 6-2 6-4 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 3 Apr | Paul | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Bolt | 6-7 6-0 6-3 | W |
| 31 Mar | Gomez | 1-6 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 24 Mar | Paul | 1-6 3-6 | L |
| 22 Mar | Jodar | 5-7 4-6 | W |

