Odds
Player analysis
J. Fearnley has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.4 to 19.2, with at least one match where J. Fearnley was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Fearnley vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Fearnley has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.
G. Mpetshi Perricard comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.2, meaning G. Mpetshi Perricard has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving G. Mpetshi Perricard vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 5 May | Kovacevic | 6-2 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 4 May | Mochizuki | 3-6 1-6 | W |
| 12 Mar | Cazaux | 2-6 6-3 1-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Fritz | 3-6 7-6 1-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Dzumhur | 6-3 6-3 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 19 Mar | Carabelli | 6-2 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 5 Mar | Majchrzak | 6-3 1-6 7-5 | L |
| 25 Feb | Auger-Aliassime | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 23 Feb | Echargui | 6-7 7-6 6-7 | W |
| 22 Feb | Choinski | 4-6 6-3 7-6 | W |

