MiamiHard1/16-finals22 Mar 2026 · 17:10
L. Fernandez
#25 · Canada
VS
J. Pegula
#5 · USA
FERNANDEZ
6.79
·
PEGULA
1.142

Odds

Market
Fernandez
Pegula
Winner
6.79
1.142
Total
line 18.5
1.73
Over 18.5
2
Under 18.5
Total
line 20.0
1.98
Over 20.0
1.901
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
1.909
+5.0 games
1.962
-5 games
Handicap
games
2.2
+4.5 games
1.725
-4.5 games

Player analysis

L. Fernandez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning L. Fernandez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving L. Fernandez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.87Trend mixed

J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-40 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.81Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Fernandez
Stat
Pegula
62.4%
Win rate
73.2%
151–91
W–L
41–15

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces1
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

13
Hard 13
L. Fernandez vs J. Pegula head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHardWTA 1/16-finalsPegula2-6 2-6
WashingtonHard1/8-finalsFernandez3-6 6-1 5-7
WTA CincinnatiHardQuarter-finalsPegula7-5 6-7 7-6
WTA MiamiHard1/16-finalsPegula5-7 4-6