RomeClay1/8-finals23 Apr 2026 · 14:15
A. Guerrieri
#338 · Italy
VS
A. Fery
#161 · United Kingdom
GUERRIERI
2.16
·
FERY
1.74

Odds

Market
Guerrieri
Fery
Winner
2.16
1.74
Total
line 20.5
1.63
Over 20.5
2.09
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.82
Over 21.0
2
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
1.71
-2.5 games
1.59
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.78
-2.0 games
1.9
+2 games

Player analysis

A. Guerrieri arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +8.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Guerrieri vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.

DS 7.96Trend mixed

A. Fery comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning A. Fery has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Fery vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Fery has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -4.19Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Guerrieri
Stat
Fery
49.1%
Win rate
53.3%
86–89
W–L
8–7

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults2