Odds
Player analysis
K. Khachanov comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning K. Khachanov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving K. Khachanov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Khachanov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -40 over recent matches.
J. P. Ficovich has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +9.2 (range: -2.4 to 31.5). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. P. Ficovich vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 6 Apr | Rinderknech | 7-5 6-2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Landaluce | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Fonseca | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 25 Feb | Brooksby | 7-6 6-4 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 9 Apr | Hernandez | 7-5 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 8 Apr | Milavsky | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 4 Apr | Mendez | 6-3 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 3 Apr | Curbelo | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 1 Apr | Alves | 6-0 6-2 | W |

