RomeClay1/16-finals11 May 2026 · 11:00
A. Rublev
#14 · Russia
VS
A. Davidovich Fokina
#23 · Spain

Odds

Market
Rublev
Fokina
Change
Winner

Player analysis

Andrey Rublev enters the Rome Masters round of 16 as the 14th-ranked player from Russia, holding a commanding 4-1 head-to-head advantage over his Spanish opponent. The clay-court specialist has shown mixed recent form, with two consecutive losses to Valentin Kopriva and Arthur Fils preceding three wins over Holger Rune, Tomas Machac, and Lorenzo Sonego. Rublev will look to capitalize on his superior ranking and historical dominance in this matchup to secure progression through the Italian Open's second round.

DS -0.27Trend up

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, ranked 23rd from Spain, brings an inconsistent run of form into his Rome Masters clash with Rublev on clay. The Spaniard has alternated between wins and losses in his last five matches, most recently defeating Jannik Mensik and Pablo Carreño Busta but suffering defeats to Casper Ruud, Quintin Halys, and Learner Tien. Despite owning a 1-4 record in the head-to-head series, Davidovich Fokina will attempt to upset Rublev's favored status and extend his tournament run in the round of 16 at the Foro Italico.

DS -2.72Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Rublev
Stat
Fokina
62.1%
Win rate
58.2%
121–74
W–L
106–76

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

41
Clay 21
Hard 20
A. Rublev vs A. Davidovich Fokina head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
BarcelonaClay1/8-finalsFokina7-5 6-4
ATP BeijingHard1/8-finalsRublev6-4 7-5
ATP MadridClay1/16-finalsRublev7-6 6-4
ATP RomeClay1/16-finalsRublev7-6 6-3
ATP DubaiHard1/8-finalsRublev6-1 6-7 6-7