Odds
Player analysis
J. Fonseca has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.8 to 18.5, with at least one match where J. Fonseca was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving J. Fonseca vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
M. Kecmanovic comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning M. Kecmanovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Kecmanovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Apr | Diallo | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 21 Mar | Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 19 Mar | Marozsan | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 11 Mar | Sinner | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 9 Mar | Paul | 6-2 6-3 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 5 Apr | Norrie | 6-2 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 19 Mar | Majchrzak | 4-6 6-3 6-1 | L |
| 13 Mar | Walton | 6-2 5-7 2-6 | L |
| 13 Mar | McDonald | 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Cobolli | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | L |

